Gulf of Mexico, Chesapeake Bay, Poyang Lake Papers

Scavia, D., I. Bertani, A. J. Bever, J. D. Blomquist, M.A.M. Friedrichs, L. C. Linker, B. D. Michael, R. R. Murphy, G. W. Shenk, J. M. Testa. Advancing Estuarine Ecological Forecasts: Seasonal Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay. Ecol. Appl. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2384

Meng, J-N, H. Fang, L. Huang, G. He, X. Liu, C. Xu, X. Wu, D. Scavia. Multidimensional ecosystem assessment of Poyang Lake under anthropogenic influences. Ecological Modeling 473: 110134

Meng, J-N, H. Fang, D. Scavia. 2021 Application of ecosystem stability and regime shift theories in ecosystem assessment. Ecol. Indicators 125:107529

Testa, J.M., J.B. Clark, W.C. Dennison, E.C. Donovan, A.W. Fisher, W. Ni, M. Parker, D. Scavia, S.E. Spitzer, A.M. Waldrop, V.M.D. Vargas, G. Ziegler.  2017 Ecological forecasting and the science of hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay BioScience. 67: 614-626

Obenour, D.R., A M. Michalak, and D. Scavia 2015 Assessing biophysical controls on Gulf of Mexico hypoxia through probabilistic modeling. Ecol. Applications 25: 492-505

Zhou, Y., D. Scavia, A.M. Michalak 2014 Nutrient loading and meteorological conditions explain interannual variability of hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay.  Limnol. Oceanogr. 59:373-374

Scavia, D., M.A. Evans, D. Obenour 2013 A scenario and forecast model for Gulf of Mexico hypoxic area and volume.  Environ. Sci. Technol.http://dx.doi.org/10.1021/es4025035

Obenour, D.; D. Scavia, N.R. Rabalais; E.R. Turner; A. Michalak 2013 A retrospective analysis of mid-summer hypoxic area and volume in the northern Gulf of Mexico, 1985-2011 Environ. Sci. Technol. Supporting Information

Evans, M.A. and D. Scavia 2013 Exploring estuarine eutrophication sensitivity to nutrient loading. Limnol. Oceanogr.

Obenour, D.R., A.M. Michalak,Y. Zhou, and D. Scavia. 2012. Quantifying the Impacts of Stratification and Nutrient Loading on Hypoxia in the Northern Gulf of Mexico. Environ. Sci. Technol. dxdoi.org/10.102/es204481a

Liu, Y., G.B. Arhonditsis, C. Stow, D. Scavia. 2011 Comparing Chesapeake Bay Hypoxic-Volume and Dissolved-Oxygen Profile Predictions with A Bayesian Streeter-Phelps Model. J. America Water Res. Assoc.

Evans, M.A. and D. Scavia 2010. Forecasting hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay and Gulf of Mexico: Model accuracy, precision, and sensitivity to ecosystem change. Environ. Res. Letters.  doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/1/015001 Associated News Summary

Liu, Y, M.A. Evans, D. Scavia. 2010 Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia: Exploring Increasing Sensitivity to Nitrogen Loads. Environ. Sci. Technol.

Liu, Y. and D. Scavia.  2010. Analysis of the Chesapeake Bay Hypoxia Regime Shift: Insights from Two Simple Mechanistic Models. Estuaries and Coasts 33:629-639DOI 10.1007/s12237-009-9251-z

Scavia, D. and Y. Liu. 2009. Exploring Estuarine Nutrient Susceptibility.  Environ. Sci. Technol43 :3474–3479. Supporting Information

Boesch, D., L.B. Crowder, R.J. Diaz, R.W. Howarth, L.E. Mee, S.W. Nixon, N.N. Rabalais, R. Rosenberg, J.G. Sanders, D. Scavia, R.E. Turner. 2009. Nutrient enrichment drives Gulf of Mexico hypoxiaEos Trans. AGU. 99:117-128. Supporting information

Stow, C.A. and D. Scavia. 2009. Modeling Hypoxia in the Chesapeake Bay: Ensemble Estimation Using a Bayesian Hierarchical Model. J. Marine Systems 76:244-250.

Scavia, D. and K.A. Donnelly. 2007. Reassesing Hypoxia Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico. Env. Sci. Technol. 41, 8111–8117.  Published Supporting Information

Justic, D., V.J. Bierman, Jr., D. Scavia. and R. Hetland. Forecasting Gulf’s Hypoxia: The Next 50 Years? 2007. Estuaries and Coasts, 30(5): 791-801.

Swaney, D.P., D. Scavia, R.W. Howarth, R.M. Marino. 2008 Estuarine Classification and Response to Nitrogen Loading: Insights from Simple Ecological Models. Estuarine and Continental Shelf Science Special Issue.

Nassauer, J.I., M.V. Santelmann, and D.Scavia (Eds). 2007 From the Corn Belt to the Gulf: Assessment of Alternative Agricultural Futures, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

Scavia, D. and J.I. Nassauer. 2007. Policy insights from alternative futures and integrated assessments. In: Nassauer, J.I., M.V. Santelmann, and D.Scavia (Eds). From the Corn Belt to the Gulf: Assessment of Alternative Agricultural Futures, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

Scavia, D., W.J. Mitsch, and O.C. Doering. 2007.  Improving Water Quality from the Corn Belt to the Gulf, In: Nassauer, J.I., M.V. Santelmann, and D.Scavia (Eds). From the Corn Belt to the Gulf: Assessment of Alternative Agricultural Futures, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

Turner, R.E., G. F. McIsaac, N. N. Rabalais, and D. Scavia. 2007. The Gulf of Mexico dead zone and ecological effects of agriculture in the Mississippi River Basin, In: Nassauer, J.I., M.V. Santelmann, and D.Scavia (Eds). From the Corn Belt to the Gulf: Assessment of Alternative Agricultural Futures, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

Doering, O.C., C.L. Kling, J.I. Nassauer, and D. Scavia  2007 Agricultural policy choices. In: Nassauer, J.I., M.V. Santelmann, and D.Scavia (Eds). From the Corn Belt to the Gulf: Assessment of Alternative Agricultural Futures, Resources for the Future, Washington, D.C.

Donner, S.D and D. Scavia. 2007. How climate controls the flux of nitrogen by the Mississippi River and the development of hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. Limnol. Oceanogr. 52(2): 856-861.

Bierman, V.J  Jr., S.C. Hinz; D. Justić, D.Scavia, J.A. Veil, K. Satterlee, M. Parker. 2007.  Predicted Impacts from Offshore Produced Water Discharges on Hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico. SPE Facilities, Construction, and Operations.  Society of Petroleum Engineers.

Scavia, D., E.A. Kelly, and J. D. Hagy III. 2006. A simple model for forecasting the effects of nitrogen loads on Chesapeake Bay hypoxia. Estuaries and Coasts 29(4) 674-684.

Scavia, D. and S. Bricker.2006. Coastal Eutrophication Assessment in the United States. Biogeochemistry. 79: 18-208.

Martinelli, L.A., R.W. Howarth, E. Cuevas, S. Filoso, A.Austin, L. Donoso, V. Huzsar, D. Keeney, L. L Lara, C. Llerena, G. McIssac, E. Medina, J. Ortiz-Zayas, D. Scavia, D. W. Schindler, D. Soto, and A.Townsend. 2006. The origin and fate of reactive nitrogen in Latin America and the Caribbean .  Biogeochemistry 79: 3-24.

Scavia, D., D. Justic, and V.J. Bierman, Jr.  2004. Reducing hypoxia in the Gulf of Mexico: Advice from three models. Estuaries 27(3):419-425.

Scavia, D. N.N. Rabalais, R.E. Turner, D. Justic, and W. Wiseman Jr.  2003. Predicting the response of Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia to variations in Mississippi River Nitrogen Load. Limnol. Oceanogr. 48(3): 951-956.

Rabalais, N.N., R.E. Turner, and D. Scavia. 2002. Beyond Science into Policy: Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia and the Mississippi River. BioScience 52:129-142.

Scavia, D., J.C. Field, D.F. Boesch, R.W. Buddemeier, V. Burkett, D.R. Cayan, M. Fogarty, M.A. Harwell, R.W. Howarth, C. Mason, D.J. Reed, T.C. Royer, A.H. Sallenger, and J.G. Titus.  2002. Climate Change Impacts on U.S. Coastal and Marine Ecosystems. Estuaries 25: 149-164.