Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecasts and Scenarios

For almost three decades, the relative size of the hypoxic region on the Louisiana-Texas continental shelf has drawn scientific and policy attention. During that time, both simple and complex models have been used to explore hypoxia dynamics and to provide management guidance relating the size of the hypoxic zone to key drivers.  We developed and applied several versions of a novel stream model to capture the inter-annual variability in hypoxic extent as a function of nutrient loads. The model has been used throughout the development of action plans to reduce hypoxia.

Our work on developing and applying models of Gulf of Mexico hypoxia is documents in the published papers below, and a special website for our annual forecasts can be found here.