• Lake Erie HAB Forecast
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• Published Forecast Model Descriptions:
  • Scavia, D., Y-C Wang, D. R. Obenour, A. Apostel, S. J. Basile, M. M. Kalcic, C. J. Kirchhoff, L. Miralha, R. L. Muenich, A.L. Steiner. 2021 Quantifying uncertainty cascading from climate, watershed, and lake models in harmful algal bloom predictions. Sci. Total Environ. https://doi-org.proxy.lib.umich.edu/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143487.
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Gulf of Mexico

• Gulf of Mexico Hypoxia Forecast
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• Published Forecast Model Descriptions:
  • Scavia, et al. 2019. Hypoxic volume is more responsive than hypoxic area to nutrient load reductions in the northern Gulf of Mexico – and it matters to fish and fisheries.  Env. Res. Lett.
  • Scavia, et al. 2017 Ensemble modeling informs hypoxia management in the northern Gulf of Mexico. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. 114:8823-8828
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Chesapeake Bay

• Chesapeake Bay Hypoxia Forecast
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•  Published Forecast Model Description:
  • Scavia, et al.  Advancing Estuarine Ecological Forecasts: Seasonal Hypoxia in Chesapeake Bay. Ecol. Appl. https://doi.org/10.1002/eap.2384